Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001545 0.001640 0.001737 0.001846 0.001962 0.002085 0.002223
2025-03-09 0.001384 0.001515 0.001654 0.001815 0.001996 0.002194 0.002428
2025-03-16 0.001286 0.001440 0.001610 0.001812 0.002047 0.002314 0.002640
2025-03-23 0.001201 0.001369 0.001560 0.001793 0.002071 0.002394 0.002803
2025-03-30 0.001137 0.001317 0.001525 0.001784 0.002101 0.002480 0.002973
2025-04-06 0.001074 0.001261 0.001480 0.001759 0.002108 0.002534 0.003100
2025-04-13 0.001016 0.001208 0.001435 0.001730 0.002105 0.002571 0.003207
2025-04-20 0.000950 0.001140 0.001369 0.001669 0.002057 0.002549 0.003232
2025-04-27 0.000926 0.001123 0.001365 0.001686 0.002108 0.002654 0.003427
2025-05-04 0.000913 0.001120 0.001376 0.001722 0.002184 0.002794 0.003677
2025-05-11 0.000907 0.001124 0.001397 0.001770 0.002279 0.002962 0.003974
2025-05-18 0.000884 0.001105 0.001386 0.001775 0.002314 0.003049 0.004160
2025-05-25 0.000837 0.001056 0.001336 0.001731 0.002285 0.003053 0.004236
2025-06-01 0.000799 0.001016 0.001298 0.001701 0.002273 0.003081 0.004352
2025-06-08 0.000774 0.000993 0.001281 0.001698 0.002300 0.003166 0.004557
2025-06-15 0.000745 0.000963 0.001254 0.001679 0.002303 0.003214 0.004708
2025-06-22 0.000721 0.000941 0.001235 0.001671 0.002320 0.003284 0.004897
2025-06-29 0.000695 0.000912 0.001207 0.001649 0.002314 0.003317 0.005026
2025-07-06 0.000668 0.000883 0.001177 0.001622 0.002299 0.003335 0.005131
2025-07-13 0.000634 0.000842 0.001129 0.001566 0.002238 0.003277 0.005102
2025-07-20 0.000624 0.000835 0.001129 0.001581 0.002286 0.003396 0.005385
2025-07-27 0.000620 0.000836 0.001140 0.001614 0.002364 0.003565 0.005768
2025-08-03 0.000620 0.000842 0.001159 0.001659 0.002463 0.003775 0.006239